With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, China's AI technicians are growing at an alarming rate. AI technology is no longer an individual or private profit strategy. It is a symbol of national strength. Countries have opened up artificial intelligence strength technology competition, but China will likely become the world's number one in the AI ​​field.
In the AI ​​era, the formation of a double monopoly between the two giants of the United States and China is inevitable, and this future has begun to take shape. Not only that, China is surpassing catching up and becoming the world's number one in the AI ​​field. This article is a summary of Li Kaifu's discussion about the rise of AI in China. He cited six reasons.
According to reports, Kai-fu Lee is very optimistic about the future of artificial intelligence (AI) in China. He gave a keynote speech at the MIT's "AI and Future Work" conference, predicting that a driverless car will become a large-scale phenomenon in the United States within 15 to 20 years. But in China, this process may take only 10 years.
For many US observers and attendees, this may surprise them because they are eager to take advantage of recent advances in the AI ​​space. Especially when such predictions come from Kai-Fu Lee, and he has a deep understanding of AI development in North America and China. In 1988, Kai-Fu Lee received his Ph.D. in AI (Calculation Recognition) from Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) and worked for Apple, SGI, Microsoft and Google. He established a venture capital firm in Beijing in 2009. Innovation workshop (SinovaTIon Ventures).
In his speech at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Kai-Fu Lee concluded: "In the AI ​​era, the formation of a monopoly between the two giants of the United States and China is inevitable, and this future has begun to take shape." This is a well-founded conclusion. It brings together a lot of evidence that China is surpassing catching up and becoming the world's number one in the AI ​​field. The following is a summary of Li Kaifu's discussion on the rise of AI in China. He cited six reasons:
1, a large number of talentsOf the 289 researchers selected as the "Artificial Intelligence Development Association," only two were Chinese. However, Kai-fu Lee stressed: "The number of Chinese AI researchers is growing at an alarming rate." In the 100 best journals/conference AI papers, the percentage of Chinese researchers rose from 23.2% in 2006 to 42.8% in 2015. The proportion of citations increased from 25.5% to 55.8%.
Face++, a Chinese facial recognition startup, won the first place in three computer vision challenges in the face of teams from Microsoft, Facebook, Google and CMU. AAAI had delayed the 2017 annual meeting for a week because it found that the date of the meeting coincided with the Chinese New Year, and the number of researchers from China and the United States was almost equal.
Li Kaifu quoted AI pioneer and Cornell University professor Fred Jarinick as saying: "No data actually means more data." Kai-Fu Lee said that most AI algorithms are open source, and as everyone knows, you only need A few smart people come to adjust them. The success of companies like Facebook and Google is due to a virtuous circle: more data leads to better products and well-trained AI, which in turn attracts more users and makes more money. This, in turn, allows them to hire more scientists, acquire more machines, process and mine more data.
As Li Kaifu pointed out, the data gap between the United States and China is “significantly greater than the actual gap between the population of the two countries (or the number of active mobile phone users). He said that Chinese people use mobile phones to pay for goods 50 times more than Americans, and product orders are 10 times that of the United States. All of this can be used as data for training AI models.
Kai-Fu Lee said: "China is moving beyond the way it moves and uses." The United States used to have the world's best payment infrastructure - credit cards. However, Kai-Fu Lee said that China has the opportunity to use mobile payment to achieve leap-forward development, which has the advantages of frictionless, equivalence and instant. This mobile infrastructure and all applications based on it generate a large amount of data that can support the training of AI cycles.
3. Useful innovationIn the MIT DisTInguished Lecture series, Robert Buderi and George T. Huang in their 2006 book The Art of Relationships: Microsoft, China, and Bill In the Gates Winning Plan, the students asked Li Kaifu to leave a sentence as "a famous saying." The book said: "Li Kaifu recalled that the first thing I thought of was that what was really important was not innovation, but useful innovation."
This is the current situation in China, but the days of imitation are over. But Kai-Fu Lee said that plagiarism taught entrepreneurs how to make products and they became excellent product managers. Then they quickly moved on to the next stage, "when they were inspired by American innovation," and then developed new product features. Therefore, "Weibo is a better product than Twitter, Taobao, eBay, WeChat and Facebook Messenger. The better the function, the stronger the business model."
Today, Chinese companies are emerging with a large number of innovative products that have not appeared in the United States, such as custom news or the use of "low-income American teachers" to teach English to create distance education. Kai-Fu Lee said: "We are now entering an era of copying from China."
4. Competitive experienceHistorian Alfred Chandler once wrote that the size and scope of American companies flourished in the huge US market of the 19th century and successfully competed globally in the 20th century. Japanese companies have no scale and scope of experience in relatively small domestic markets, but before the second half of the 20th century conquered the world market, the country honed their competitive skills. In the United States, the size of Chinese companies is much larger than ever, and there is no competition in the country.
Kai-Fu Lee said that China has provided an "favorable environment for rapid start-up and rapid iteration." Compared with the United States, domestic people pay less attention to data privacy and less consensus on ethical issues. He said: "People are more focused on execution, focusing on a unique goal and the company's vision. This vision often includes global ambitions."
5. Government supportThe Face++ mentioned above recently received $460 million in financing from China's C-round financing, led by the Capital Venture Investment Fund. Last year, funds from the Chinese government grew to $353 billion, compared with $146 billion and $129 million in 2015 and 2014, respectively. Kai-Fu Lee said: "The government has become a limited partner in venture capital funds and is willing to accept lower returns than other partners. This is an incentive for top venture capital firms to take government money and spend less time. To raise money and spend more time building great companies. It is inspired by the practices of Israel and Singapore, which is very sensible."
Most importantly, government funds have a clear government policy guidance. Kai-Fu Lee said that the Chinese government supports science and technology, supports trials, and supports speed rather than using policies to block them. In July last year, the State Council announced that by 2020, China will catch up in the field of AI technology and applications, and by 2030 will become the "world's leading AI innovation center." Kai-fu Lee compared this "very straightforward way" with the Obama administration's 2016 AI report, saying that the latter "reasonably thinks about long-term resources, regulation, and ethics."
Kai-fu Lee also pointed out that in 2010, China had vowed to become the leader of the world high-speed railway. Six years later, 60% of the world's high-speed trains were deployed in China. In 2015, the Chinese government announced a plan called “Volkswagen Entrepreneurship and Innovation Campaign†to make everyone in China an entrepreneur. Kai-Fu Lee said that there are currently 8,000 Chinese entrepreneurial incubators/accelerators (1,700 in 2014), and 89,000 startups have graduated from these incubators.
6, the spirit of adventureChinese consumers, many companies and even government agencies have ventures, trials and bold adventurous spirits. This is evident in Kai-Fu Lee’s conversation, especially when he ventures to predict the future “four waves†of economic digital transformation.
In the first wave, the company successfully used online data. Kai-Fu Lee predicted: "China's Internet companies (BAT) will surpass US counterparts." This is not only because they are leading the way in mobile and payment, but also because they are "not subject to anti-monopoly law, and they are also very Tenacious. Each of them is becoming a bank, insurance company, etc."
In the second wave, the company succeeded by developing and selling commercial data software. Unlike American companies, large traditional Chinese companies “never worry about data warehouses with important contentâ€, and China lags behind the US in this regard. Kai-fu Lee said: "But the government is pushing Chinese companies forward, they may have the opportunity to catch up."
In the third wave, “China will surpass the US in the digital real world†because of the amount of data, consumer concerns about privacy, and cheaper hardware. Kai-fu Lee said that products similar to Amazon's smart speaker Echo are priced at only $15 in China.
The fourth wave is about being fully automated, just like driverless cars and robots. In Kai-Fu Lee’s estimate, the United States is far ahead in terms of technology, which means that two years is a long time. But with the support of the government, Chinese companies are growing faster. Therefore, we will see who will eventually become the leader. At present, Chinese companies have a 50% chance.
But when it comes to retail automation or automated stores, Kai-fu Lee is more optimistic about the advantages of Chinese companies. Amazon buys a whole food supermarket? Kai-fu Lee asserted: "We think this is a rather primitive activity." Although he admits that Amazon has the most advanced technology, in China, "automatic stores are everywhere." This is part of a larger trend, Online-Merges-with-Offline, which is the fusion of the digital world and the real world. Li Kaifu said that this will affect education and many other areas.
Kai-Fu Lee said that if you go to China in a year or so, half of the shopping will be done in an automatic or semi-automatic store. He said: "This is the speed at which Chinese companies deploy products. Anything you want, competition, and boldness. This spirit will push China forward and become a powerful AI force." Kai-fu Lee once said: "My father always feels that China does not have Realize your potential.†Today, however, China is realizing that it is likely to be a leader in many fields, including AI.
China, which is becoming a leader, has already spawned a lot of AI entrepreneurs, and the influx of people will only hurt. Do you know how to balance technology and demand? Do you know how to use the policy to get twice the result with half the effort? Do you know how to find a company's investment in Bole? On December 14th, the Yiou 2017AI Industry Application Summit, we will invite many investors, entrepreneurs, and AI elites to discuss together, not only AI+ industry + application, here is the communication platform between demanders and technology providers, and is a policy expert. The communication platform with the enterprise is a platform for mutual exchange between investors and enterprises, and it is a docking platform for recent graduates and enterprises. Multi-dimensional, deeper, come here to implement your own AI!
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